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NEW YORK - Greater nation big consumer of fuel worldwide has its limits after all.

After seven decades of mostly uninterrupted growth, the essence of American demand is at the beginning of a long term decline. By 2030, American us be burn at least 20% less fuel than today's today, experts say, then even the millions of cars more clog roadways.

Thirst for gasoline in the country is shrinking as cars and trucks are becoming more efficient fuel, the Government expects the use of ethanol and people less car.

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"A combination of demographic and political change change means the heady days of growth to the United States gasoline is over", explains Daniel Yergin, President of IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates and author of a history of prize Pulitzer, the petroleum industry.

This is not the first time in the history of the United States that gasoline demand fell, at least temporarily. Generally, the pilot prune during recessions, then hit the road once, when the economy is on the upswing. Indeed, the great depression was the reason main demand has fallen sharply in 2008.

But this time looks different. Government officials and industry - including the CEO of Exxon Mobil - say the essence of American demand reached a peak for good. It has decreased for four consecutive years and will not reach the level of 2006 once again, even when the economy recovers completely.

Indeed, the ground was travel before the recession. The terrorist attacks of 2001, the war in Iraq, Hurricane Katrina and pump prices amounting to an average $3 per gallon, for the first time in a generation national boosted public debates on the effects of oil imports political and economic and climate change. In addition, the popularity of SUV has begun to decline and the Government began to require mixing ethanol made from corn in every gallon of gasoline refiners.

American are combustion by an average of 8.2 million barrels-344 million gallons - gasoline per day in 2010, a figure which excludes ethanol blended with gasoline. It is 8 per cent less than at the Summit 2006, according to government data.

The decline should accelerate for several reasons.

From the 2012 model year cars must reach a fuel economy targets at higher for the first time since 1990. Fleet of each manufacturer shall mean 30.1 mpg, 27.5 square. By the year 2016 model, this number should increase 35.5 mpg. And next year's departure, seen and vans, once classified as trucks, will be to passenger vehicle targets.The automotive industry is showing cars that run on electricity, or partially full and the Federal Government provides billions of dollars in grants to increase production and to stimulate the sales.By 2022, mixing fuel the country must include 36 billion litres of ethanol and other biofuels, place of 14 billion gallons in 2011. In other words, biofuels will account for about of all four litres sold the pump.Gasoline prices expected to remain high as the economies of Asia and the use of Middle East developing more oil.

There are demographic factors at work too. Baby boomers will govern the least in aging. The thrust of women enter the labour market and to commute over recent decades has stabilized. And the era of Americans never far from commuting distances seems to be more. A measure of vehicle kilometres travelled by a pilot licence holder, started to flatten in the middle of the last decade after years of strong growth.

"People madly underestimate the effect that it will"at the request of the essence,"" explains Paul Sankey, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. Sankey predicted by 2030 that America will use only 5.4 million barrels per day, the same as in 1969. Aaron Brady, CERA, analyst predicts a more modest decline, 6.6 million barrels per day.

As a result, families spend less fuel, dependence on foreign oil country will decline and heat-trapping emissions of carbon dioxide will increase more slowly.

Seen crossing began in 2004 and recorded on gasoline US $ 15 billion this year, according to the National Council of defence resources. By 2020, improved fuel economy is expected to reduce annual emissions of carbon dioxide from ￡ 400 billion, equivalent to 32 million cars from the road.

In reality, it will be over 27 million cars on the road - a total of 254 million - a decade from now, according to the projections of the Government.

Ecologists have been studying the trend with a mixture of disbelief and pleasure. A decade ago, they thought that demand will continue to grow from 1 to 2% per year in the future.

"Now you look at and, wow, we've actually bent the curve," says Roland Hwang, Director of transportation of the Natural Resources Defense Council.

There are scenarios, although likely little, pourraient temporarily jostling the long-term trend. If the U.S. economy booms and fall world oil prices, gasoline demand could increase.

"Sometimes what we think it's a structural change is really just a temporary phase", explains Antoine Halff, an analyst at the Newedge brokerage firm. "U.s. demand has bounced back with a vengeance before".

Certainly, America will continue to burn fuel more than any other country, in total and per capita, the coming decades. China is the second in total consumption, but despite its explosive growth, yet uses only half of what the United States uses. The Canada is the second of per capita consumption but is on its own path towards a more efficient economy fuel.

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Whereas the application of tiédie America global demand decreases, it will be more than offset by rapid growth of demand in China, India, the Middle East and Africa. Accordingly, declining u.s. gasoline demand bring more low prices at the pump.

Worldwide oil demand will hit a record 88.3 million barrels per day of the next year, according to the consulting firm Wood Mackenzie.

In simple terms, "we are in a period where the U.S. motorist is no longer the King of the road," says Yergin.

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