Showing posts with label fades. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fades. Show all posts

Stocks end flat as rally over tax cuts fades (AP)

By CHIP CUTTER and MATTHEW CRAFT, AP Business Writers Chip Cutter And Matthew Craft, Ap Business Writers – Tue?Dec?7, 6:08?pm?ET

NEW YORK – Stocks closed mixed Tuesday after enthusiasm over a deal to extend tax cuts faded.

Bond prices fell sharply as traders anticipated the tax cuts would boost economic growth but also lead to ballooning budget deficits. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note jumped to 3.13 percent, its highest level since June 22.

President Barack Obama and Republican leaders agreed to a broad package of tax cuts and an extension of unemployment benefits. The compromise plan helped send stocks higher in the morning, briefly pushing the Standard & Poor's 500 index to its highest level since the peak of the financial crisis in September 2008.

Private economists began raising their expectations for economic growth in response to the tax cut deal. Bond traders focused on another factor: the widening budget deficit. Estimates vary widely, but some put the total cost of the package in the range of $900 billion over the next two years.

Slashing tax receipts to the Treasury without a plan to fill the shortfall is "the height of irresponsibility," said Dan Greenhaus, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak, in a note to clients.

The extension of the Bush-era tax cuts, which were due to expire at the end of the year, removed a major source of uncertainty for financial markets. The deal announced late Monday also included a one-year break on payroll taxes which will put money directly in Americans' pockets. The same is true for the extension of unemployment benefits, which economists see as an effective way to stimulate the economy by getting people spending again.

"The deal in Washington is a big deal," said Kim Caughey Forrest, equity research analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group. "Investors really do like certainty, and they really do like certainty around taxes."

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 3, or 0.03 percent, to close at 11,359.16. It had been up as many as 89 points before turning lower in the afternoon.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 0.6, or 0.05 percent, to 1,223.75. The S&P closed within 2 points of its 2010 high reached on Nov. 5.

The Nasdaq composite index rose 3.6, or 0.1 percent, to 2,598.49.

Treasury prices fell sharply, sending their yields higher. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose to 3.13 percent from 2.93 percent late Monday. The yield on the 10-year note is a widely used benchmark for interest rates on loans including mortgages.

Citigroup Inc. rose 3.8 percent to $4.62 after the government said late Monday it reached a deal to sell its remaining stake in the bank for a $12 billion profit. Nicor Inc. jumped 4.3 percent to $48.79 after the natural gas distributor said it had agreed to be acquired by AGL Resources Inc. for about $2.38 billion in cash and stock.

Shares of New York Times Co. rose 4 percent to $9.76 after the newspaper publisher said declines in print advertising sales are slowing and expenses are falling.

Investors were also encouraged by news out of Europe. European stock markets rose after finance ministers from the 16 nations that use the euro did not rule out increasing their $1 trillion bailout fund. Ireland also passed a budget with steep tax hikes aimed at slashing its deficit.

The dollar was up 0.5 percent against an index of six other currencies. It had been down as much as 0.4 percent earlier in the day before recouping its losses by midday.

Rising stocks were even with declining ones on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated trading volume was 7.6 billion shares.


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Summary Box: Tax-cut rally fades; Dow ends down 3 (AP)

TAX BREAK: A deal between President Barack Obama and Republican leaders on extending tax cuts sent stock prices higher for much of the day, but the rally faded by late afternoon.

NEAR 2010 HIGHS: The Standard & Poor's 500 index closed within two points of its 2010 high reached on Nov. 5.

BONDS WHACKED: Bond prices slumped, sending their yields higher, as traders anticipated that the tax cuts would swell the budget deficit. The yield on the benchmar 10-year Treasury note jumped to 3.13 percent from 2.93 percent late Monday, its highest level since June 22.


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Stocks' rally set to run as fear fades (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Europe's sovereign debt crisis will still hang over global markets next week, but on Wall Street, investors will not be afraid to bet on stocks.

Wall Street has shown its ability to hold onto gains, or quickly recover from losses this week despite Europe's debt woes, suggesting that investors are confident of a sustained rally.

"When things don't fall apart on bad news, you know that the market is no longer vulnerable. The overall sentiment is pretty solid," said Randy Frederick, director of trading and derivatives at Schwab Center for Financial Research in Austin, Texas.

The outstanding put-to-call ratio on index options, heavily focused on the S&P 500 benchmark, dropped from 1.32 last week to 1.29, showing bullish signs for next week.

The ratio, which is always greater than 1, is the primary hedging vehicle for institutional investors. The ratio rises with a market rally as the possibility of a pullback also increases.

"The ability (to not fall apart) is helping investors remain upbeat on short-term prospects for stocks. We may not see this continue until the end of January next year, but the month of December certainly looks encouraging."

The CBOE Volatility Index or VIX (.VIX), Wall Street's so-called fear gauge, fell despite a decline in stocks earlier in the day as traders saw fewer reasons to buy protection.

The index, which usually moves inverse to the S&P 500 benchmark, strayed from the relationship and closed at its lowest since April.

The iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures exchange-traded note (BARC.L) (VXX.P) also notched a new year low of $41.51 on Friday. The ETN, which offers directional volatility exposure, is based off of the front two-month futures on the VIX.

"There is definitely a trend in the VXX to try to get short in the ETN," said Dan Deming, a VIX options trader at Stutland Equities.

S&P 500 ENDS WEEK UP 3 PERCENT

Fears that Europe's debt crisis could spiral out of control have pushed stocks off two-year highs hit earlier this month. Last week, the S&P 500 was down 3 percent from November 5.

But the index recovered to the early November levels this week as fears were countered by a spate of healthy economic data and an upbeat outlook on consumer spending during the holiday shopping season.

"Europe is kind of its own play now," said Jeff Roach, chief economist at Horizon Investments in Charlotte, North Carolina, adding that investors are starting to brush off the longer-term macro issues.

On Friday, stocks closed out their best week in a month with the Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) up 2.6 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 (.SPX) up 3 percent and the Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) up 2.2 percent, after shrugging off tepid jobs numbers for November.

ISM FORECASTS, TRADE GAP ON TAP

Economic indicators next week will be fairly light, with the Institute for Supply Management releasing its semi-annual economic forecasts for the U.S. manufacturing and services sectors on Tuesday. The weekly mortgage data on Wednesday and jobless claims on Thursday will still get close scrutiny.

On Friday, Wall Street will watch for reports on import and export prices in November, the international trade deficit for October, and a preliminary reading December consumer sentiment from the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

As the year wraps up, portfolio managers will continue to chase outperforming stocks and sell some laggards to keep their balance sheets healthy.

The three-day moving average of stocks hitting new 52-week highs on the New York Stock Exchange accelerated at the end of November and is now close to 250, while stocks making new 52-week lows edged down in December and remained slight.

The portfolio managers are "all trying to scramble to catch up. They have performance risk, they have bonus risk and ultimately they have job risk," said Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James in St. Petersburg, Florida.

(Reporting by Angela Moon; Additional reporting by Leah Schnurr and Doris Frankel; Editing by Jan Paschal)


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QE heads as perspective UK US fades

Ben Bernanke, Chairman of the Fed, marked on Wall Street that a second dose of EQ is likely to be announced Wednesday in a bid to fire up to America's economic recovery.

While policy commands broad support among the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), some expressed doubts as to how many additional EQ, the economy has besoin.Une higher Institute for manufacturing, which showed supply management index reading only arrested this month at their highest level since may, will not have quietened this malaise.

"Overall manufacturing sector seems survived the slowdown in demand seen during the summer and begins once more recover," according to economists from HSBC.

However, the last day of data prior to the meeting took place also showed that consumer revenue dropped in September for the first time in more than a year.

A decision to opt for the more EQ - or money printing - prove controversial and the prospect of the Bank of England makes the same Thursday recedes.

The United Kingdom manufacturer leader of survey showed has been a good way unexpected octobre.La manufacturing managers purchase (PMI) Markit CIPS index improved reading 54.9 53.5, September 10-month low representing first index since May and confusion of the predictions of economists of a drop of 53.1.

Growth accelerated for the first time in seven months, supported by faster input of new business - in particular, a surge of export orders which eased concerns after demand for foreign contracted in September.

In addition, the rate of job creation is his strongest since June, raising hopes that the private sector may compensate public job losses.

On the downside, manufacturers appeared to predict uncomfortable increases in the cost of raw materials, as they increased levels of stock at the fastest pace in 18 of the investigation.

Generally encouraging data represented makers "last nail in the coffin" for probability the Bank this week will be expand the EQ program of £ 200bn, according to Andrew Goodwin, Senior Economic Advisor to the Club of Ernst & Young point.


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