Showing posts with label unemployment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label unemployment. Show all posts

Us unemployment: what the economists say

Job seekers speak to recruiters during a job hunting camp training in San Mateo, California. ?Photo: GETTY

"November U.S. employment report was a painful reality for those who hope that a significant acceleration in economic activity was underway. Increase of 39,000 in Payroll employment is extremely disappointing after gain among October.


"Overall, data strongly support our view for a long time that the unemployment rate will remain at 9 5pc or higher at least the next two years and GDP will increase much 2pc." "It is compatible with the Federal Reserve kept very loose monetary policy.


"The survey of household employment data were unexpectedly poor this month..." An increase in the labour force maintained unemployment decline, but an actual increase in the unemployment rate was avoided so far. Recent news from market work generally showed an improvement, but this report is a clear break in this trend.


"The November payroll report is a bucket of cold water intrusive and seems to fly in most other recent data showing the dynamic economy collection"


"Retail jobs fell 28,000, after an increase of 13 000 in October, for the hiring of holidays had not followed with the normal seasonal factors. But it should be noted that retail jobs in October and November - before correction of seasonal - total, up to 367,000 last year. For retailers have hired more until the holiday season than the last one, but that they hired also earlier, boosting October at the expense of November.


"Figure today confirms certainly the United States economic recovery will be painfully slow moving forwards in 2011." Fragile dollar responds instantly to the bad news, weakened by almost 1pc in the euro.


"Given that the United States are trying to spend its way out of recession, its economy has really need to begin to pick up." A resumption of the snail-like could prevent the Government to pay for this strategy, causing serious problems in the long term. ?


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Us unemployment rises: in figures

A job seeker reviews by registration in a centre of careers in Oakland, California.?Photo: GETTY

9 8pc - unemployment rate in November 9 6pc in October square


50,000 - Number of jobs created in the private sector


11,000 - The collapse of government posts


Agricultural wage mass increase expected by economists before 130,000 - figures released


172,000 - Increase of non-farm payrolls in October - figure has been revised upwards on Friday 151 000 initially


$600bn (£ 380bn)-EDF amount they will pump in the economy between November and June, after the $1.7 billion already completed quantitative easing.


28,100 - Number of jobs in November, despite the beginning of the holiday shopping season retail losses


$ 1,400 - Award Gold jumped over $ 1,400 an ounce after employment data were released


5,745.32 - Closure of the FTSE 100 Friday, dropped to 0 4pc according to figures from the US unemployment level is released


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Stocks stumble after unemployment rises to 9.8 pct (AP)

By DAVID K. RANDALL, AP Business Writer David K. Randall, Ap Business Writer – 18?mins?ago

NEW YORK – An unexpected increase in the U.S. unemployment rate pushed stocks down Friday as investors moved money into safer assets.

The unemployment rate climbed to a seven-month high in November as employers added only 39,000 jobs. Economists had forecast a gain of 145,000.

The unemployment rate climbed to 9.8 percent from 9.6 percent.

Investors had hoped that a strong jobs report would help extend a two-day stock rally. Expectations of job growth rose Wednesday after a report showed that hiring at small businesses increased to the highest levels in three years. That along with signs of stronger retail spending pushed the Dow Jones industrial average up 356 points over Wednesday and Thursday.

"In order for stocks to push through their highs for this year, we're going to need a positive number on the jobs front," Todd Salamone, the director of research at Schaeffer's Investment Research, had said before the report.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 24.82, or 0.2 percent, to 11,337.59 in morning trading.

All but 8 of the 30 stocks that make up the Dow fell. DuPont led the index with a 1 percent gain.

The broader Standard and Poor's 500 index fell 3.45, or 0.3 percent, to 1,218.08. The index is 0.5 percent below the 2010 high it reached Nov. 5.

The Nasdaq composite index fell 3.06, or 0.1 percent, to 2,576.29.

Bond prices rose after the jobs report as traders bought safer assets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 2.97 percent from 3.00 percent late Thursday. That yield helps set interest rates on many kinds of loans including home mortgages.

The weak jobs report served as a reminder that the recovery is proceeding fitfully. Economists say it will take up to 300,000 new jobs a month to reduce the unemployment rate significantly.

"The U.S. may have to face the fact that unemployment is going to be high for a long time," said Drew Matus, a senior economist at UBS. "There are people who need to be retrained for new jobs and that will take time."

In corporate news, discount retailer Big Lots Inc. fell 4 percent after reporting that its third-quarter income fell 42 percent.

Stocks overseas fell. The Euro Stoxx 50 index, which tracks blue chip companies in countries that use the euro, was down 0.3 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was down 0.6 percent.

The dollar fell 0.9 percent against an index of six currencies. Gold and other commodities rose.


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Us unemployment jumps unexpected what prompted fears of 9 8pc recovery

Retail employment decreased from 28,000 in November, including waterfalls in the Department store employees by 9,000 jobs.?Photo: REUTERS

Us unemployment is now 9 8pc, more than 9 6pc last month. Employment growth slowed to 39,000 November — far of the 130 000 provided by the experts - after an average increase of 86 000 per month since December 2009.


In London, the FTSE 100 index fell 1pc 5,720 news and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0 3pc on open 11,331.42 as investors fear for the future of the recovery in the United States. Flight safety or seen jumping over $ 1,400 an ounce on the back of the news.


Economists said the unemployment figures demonstrating the fragility of the recovery in the United States would be considered by the US Federal Reserve as validation of its decision the month last $600bn more in the economy of the pump.


"The labour market is not turning around, and it is the key to the overall recovery" David Semmens, an American economist at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, told Bloomberg. "Anyone who believes that the Fed was perhaps too prematurely is definitely would have to eat their words".


Retail employment decreased from 28,000 in November, including falls in the store used by 9 000 jobs and furnishings furniture and home stores by 5,000.


Health care industry was the big winner in November, with a gain of 19,000 for months, even if it was still lower than the average increase of 21,000 known so far this year.


This year has also seen an increase in apathy among many unemployed, with the number of workers do not look for work because they feel that without a job for them at 1.3 million coming are 861,000 a year earlier.


Drew Matus, a senior economist at UBS, stated: "The United States may have to face the fact that unemployment will be high for an extended period."


"There are people who need to be recycled for new jobs and will take time."


The Organization of cooperation and development (OECD) had warned in September that the long-term unemployment may be a reality for many Americans.


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Millions of losing unemployment as holiday business benefits

 Extended unemployment benefits for nearly 2 million Americans begin to run out Wednesday, cutting off a steady stream of income and guaranteeing a dismal holiday season for people already struggling with bills they cannot pay.


Unless Congress changes its mind, benefits that had been extended up to 99 weeks will end this month.


Hours before beefed-up benefits were set to expire at midnight on Tuesday, Democrats sought to extend them for another year. But they were blocked by Republican Senator Scott Brown, who said Democrats should have taken time to work out a compromise.


"It's not the way to do business in the United States Senate, and if it is it needs to change," Brown said.


With the unemployment rate stuck at around 9.6 percent, the two parties have been sharply divided over how to cover the cost of weekly checks that help jobless people stay afloat.


'Immediate crisis'
Congress has let jobless benefits lapse twice already this year as Republicans insist the cost — $160 billion in the last fiscal year — be offset by cuts elsewhere to prevent the nation's $13.8 trillion debt from growing further.


"I think we have to deal with the immediate crisis," Democratic Senator Jack Reed said. "I think we have to deal with the families that are struggling today."

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Jobless benefits usually expire after six months, but since the recession took hold in 2007 Congress has voted to extend them for up to 99 weeks.


Nearly half of the 15 million unemployed people in the United States have been out of work for more than six months, the highest level of long-term unemployment since the government began keeping track in the 1940s.


Christmas is out of the question for Wayne Pittman, 46, of Lawrenceville, Ga., and his wife and 9-year-old son. The carpenter was working up to 80 hours a week at the beginning of the decade, but saw that gradually drop to 15 hours before it dried up completely. His last $297 check will go to necessities, not presents.


"I have a little boy, and that's kind of hard to explain to him," Pittman said.


The average weekly unemployment benefit in the U.S. is $302.90, though it varies widely depending on how states calculate the payment. Because of supplemental state programs and other factors, it's hard to know for sure who will lose their benefits at any given time. But the Labor Department estimates that, without a Congress-approved extension, about 2 million people will be cut off by Christmas.

Story: Jobless aid loss could choke economic growth

Congressional opponents of extending the benefits beyond this month say fiscal responsibility should come first. Republicans in the House and Senate, along with a handful of conservative Democrats, say they're open to extending benefits, but not if it means adding to the $13.8 trillion national debt.


Even if Congress does lengthen benefits, cash assistance is at best a stopgap measure, said Carol Hardison, executive director of Crisis Assistance Ministry in Charlotte, N.C., which has seen 20,000 new clients since the Great Recession started in December 2007.


"We're going to have to have a new conversation with the people who are still suffering, about the potentially drastic changes they're going to have to make to stay out of the homeless shelter," she said.


Forget Christmas presents. What the so-called "99ers" want most of all is what remains elusive in the worst economy in generations: a job.


"I am not searching for a job, I am begging for one," said Felicia Robbins, 30, as she prepared to move out of a homeless shelter in Pensacola, Fla., where she and her five children have been living. She is using the last of her cash reserves, about $500, to move into a small, unfurnished rental home.


Robbins lost her job as a juvenile justice worker in 2009 and her last $235 unemployment check will arrive Dec. 13. Her 10-year-old car isn't running, and she walks each day to the local unemployment office to look for work.

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Jeanne Reinman, 61, of Greenville, S.C., still has her house, but even that comes with a downside.


After losing her computer design job a year and a half ago, Reinman scraped by with her savings and a weekly $351 unemployment check. When her nest egg vanished in July, she started using her unemployment to pay off her mortgage and stopped paying her credit card bills. She recently informed a creditor she couldn't make payments on a loan because her benefits were ending.

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"I'm more concerned about trying to hang onto my house than paying you," she told the creditor.


Ninety-nine weeks may seem like a long time to find a job. But even as the economy grows, jobs that vanished in the Great Recession have not returned. The private sector added about 159,000 jobs in October — half as many as needed to reduce the unemployment rate of 9.6 percent, which the Federal Reserve expects will hover around 9 percent for all of next year.


'A hopeless situation'
Tara Carman told Kennewick, Wash.-based NBC station KNDU that she had been seeking work for six months.


"The checks ... they help me eat," Carman said. "I'm able to drive my car to an interview because I'm getting an unemployment check. If I didn't have that, I don't know where I would be going."


Edgar Woodward, 66, of Daytona Beach, Fla., was laid off in January 2009. He is set to be among 100,000 Floridians whose unemployment benefits will run out by Saturday, the Daytona Beach News-Journal reported.


"It's beginning to be a hopeless situation," the former restaurant manager told the newspaper. "Close to Christmas time, I'll have nothing."


"I apply for at least two jobs a day," added Silvia Lewis, of Nashville, Tenn., who's also drained her 401(k) and most of her other savings. "The constant thing that I hear, and a lot of my friends are in the same boat, is that you're overqualified."

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JoAnn Sampson of Charlotte hears the same thing. A former cart driver at U.S. Airways, she and her husband are both facing the end of unemployment benefits, and she can't get so much as an entry-level job.


"When you try to apply for retail or fast food, they say 'You're overqualified,' they say 'We don't pay that much money,' they say, 'You don't want this job,'" she said.


Sampson counts her blessings: At least her two children, a teenager and a college student, are too old to expect much from Christmas this year.

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Shawn Slonsky's three children aren't expecting much either. The 44-year-old union electrician in northeast Ohio won't be able to afford presents or even a Christmas tree.


His sons and daughter haven't bothered to send him holiday wish lists with the latest gizmos and gadgets.


Backyard deer
Things used to be different. Before work dried up, Slonsky earned about $100,000 a year and he and his wife lived in a three-bedroom house where deer meandered through the backyard. For Christmas, he bought his aspiring doctor daughter medical books, a guitar, a unicycle.


Then he and his wife lost their jobs. Their house went into foreclosure and they had to move in with his 73-year-old father.


Now, Slonsky is dreading the holidays as he tries to stretch his last unemployment check to cover child support, gas, groceries and utilities.


"You don't even get in the frame of mind for Christmas when things are bad," he said. "It's hard to be in a jovial mood all the time when you've got this storm cloud hanging over your head."


The Associated Press, Reuters, NBC News and msnbc.com staff contributed to this report.


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Receive weekly unemployment claims rise slightly

WASHINGTON — New U.S. claims for unemployment benefits rose slightly last week as scheduled, a Government report showed Thursday, but the underlying trend remained inclined towards a gradual improvement in the labour market.

Initial claims for State unemployment benefits rose from 2 000 to a seasonally adjusted 439,000, said the Ministry of labour.

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Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims, passing the 435 000 previously to 440 000.Le Government revised figure prior week until 437,000.

The data cover the week survey report of government employment in November, but weekly claims were too volatile to provide a good prediction of the agricultural wage.

An official of the Ministry of labour said that he was nothing unusual in the State-level data.

The average of four weeks of new requests without a job, considered to be a better measure of the underlying labour market trends has dropped from 4 000 to 443 000, the lowest level since the week ending September 6, 2008.

The number of people receiving always benefits after an initial help week fell from 48 000-16 h 30 million for the week ending November 6, in accordance with the expectations and the lowest since November 2008.La figure prior week has been revised up to $ 4.34 million.

The number of people on unemployment benefits 66,767 emergency pink 3.97 million in the week que se completed 30 octobre.Un total 8.85 million people have been claiming benefits unemployment during this period in all programs.

Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters.Cliquez on restrictions.


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Extend unemployment benefits: the challenge of $ 319 billion

By Patrick Rizzo, msnbc.com, senior editor

At the top of the action list for the lame duck Congress should extend to two million Americans unemployment benefits that are based on payments for cross until they find a job.

The recent speech is that lawmakers would be willing to extend the benefits for the fifth time this year before their expiry 30 supporters novembre.Les additional benefits include groups representing the so-called 99ers, running benefits after 99 weeks.

But the Republicans, which triggered Democrats partly on mid-term elections the idea that America was too spent, say that the deficit is already too big and that benefits even unemployed should be on the table for discussion.

The debate that deletes a number of echoes, which said that us Wednesday received benefits totalling 319 billion in the last three années.Article CNNMoney, the Federal Government has already paid to 109 billion unemployment said that.

Companies are likely to pay for much of the rest, including what should be added that if Congress agrees to extend the benefits, CNNMoney said.

High unemployment rate, currently at 9.6% officially, forced States that generally Fund for unemployment benefits, to ask the Federal Government for aider.Les States are in the Straits of say: 31 of them were now 41 billion in loans outstanding according CNNMoney.

With the employers on the hook to reconstruct the unemployment fund money, taxes on businesses should rise to 64 billion in 2015 from $ 38 billion last year, according to the Ministry of labour.

With this kind of money on the line, companies large and small will be probably be strong allies to legislators who want to either to stop expanding benefits or find cost elsewhere to make up the difference.


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Life Inc.: housing collapse, respond to crises of unemployment

By Allison Linn, business writer

As if it is not difficult to find a job today, there are new items of evidence that the weak housing market adds to the misfortunes of jobseekers in the nation.

Challenger, gray and Christmas said Thursday that only 6.9% of the population who crossed outplacement program the company moved a new job in the third quarter.

Which is the lowest percentage since Challenger data monitoring in 1986 and is a rate of relocation of 13.4 per cent in the same quarter a year earlier.

The follow-up survey 3,000 people in the June-September period, mostly dismissed managers or executives.

Replacement, firm says the percentage decline in people who move elsewhere for their next position shows that many are poorly to sell their houses to move, or do not have any chance to get their new employers to pay hefty relocation expenses associated with depressed real estate.

"Who are owners of a House - even if they are open to a new job - job seekers are mostly blocked where they are if they are unable or refuse to sell their home without significant loss" Challenger John a., Executive Director, Challenger, gray & Christmas, said in a release.

The percentage of clients Challenger who moved new jobs actually declined to plues years since the Challenger began collecting data.

In the third quarter, 1986, 40% of people who have gone through replacement program for the Challenger moved .and employment within three months of comparable in 2000, this figure was still at 23.5%.


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Unemployment rate drops in 23 States

WASHINGTON--nearly half of the States of United States reported drops in their unemployment rate last month, the best presentation since June. But the creation of jobs is low in most regions of the country.

Unemployment has fallen in 23 States and Washington, D.C., pink in 11 States and was unchanged at 16 in September, the Ministry of labour, said vendredi.Les declines were almost double the number reported by the States in the previous month.

Yet few month was hiring dernier.Un survey among employers concluded payrolls declined in 34 States and increased in 16 States and Washington, D.C.?

History: Some, unemployment benefits take on a job

The unemployment rate may fall even though job creation is slow, if workers quit job search and leave from the hand of work.If they are not job-seekers, they are not considered as unemployed.

At the national level, the unemployment rate was unchanged last month 9.6 %.Il is only slightly decreased last year, 9.8% in September 2009.

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But certain sectors have been worse in this moment.ch?mage area west of the mountain, a region of eight States stretching from New-Mexico Montana, jumped 9.3% 8.7% a year earlier.

It was the highest increase among the nine census regions and only two other regions saw unemployment rise during this period.

In the meantime, parts of the Midwest and the South deep has seen declining brutale.ch?mage in the South Central region is four States, which includes Alabama, Mississippi, Kentucky and Tennessee, fell 9.5% 10.7% last year.

A housing bust delayed and declines in manufacturing and tourism are poorly Mountain States.

Delay rate represents an abrupt shift to a region which has been growing at a clip healthy before récession.Montana in Idaho and Utah congratulated the lowest unemployment rates in the country before the downturn.

Copyright 2010 the Associated rights Press.Tous réservés.Ce hardware cannot be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


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Fed Chief Ben Bernanke signals more flexibility to counter unemployment, low inflation

Fed chief Ben Bernanke signals more easing to counter high unemployment, low inflation "The risk of deflation is higher than desirable", Mr. Bernanke told a Conference in the Boston Federal Reserve on Friday. Photo: AP

He said in a speech at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston that the Fed must weigh the risks of a Council of Treasury-purchase program and how debt purchases could be stimulated.

"He was shot and his back against the wall, said Joseph Greco, CEO of Meridian Equity Partners in New York."I suspect that the world will begin to tighten their belts.?

Fed policy makers should widely announce a treasure purchase program for their next meeting for two days beginning on November 2.

The economy is growing at a pace "less vigorous we would like to", said Mr. Bernanke.

Unemployment, now at 9 6pc has been stuck by two digits for more than a year.Mr. Bernanke has indicated that the Fed fears that economic growth is likely to remain dull and unemployment will slowly diminish next year.

High unemployment is likely to keep careful consumers in their dépenses.Pour now, the Fed is more interested to see the prices increase - instead of autumn.

"The risk of deflation is higher than desirable", Mr. Bernanke said, adding: "" it seems - all being equal - a case for further give. ""

Boris Schlossberg, Director of research at GFT Forex New York said: "" map it maintains close to his chest is the size of the EQ contemplating .c ' is the ace up their sleeve that they want to surprise the market with so that they completely give up control of the policy. ""

The dollar fell more after his remarks, reaching parity with the Australian dollar, while gold doped supérieur.Cependant later recovered dollar return its losses to trade higher mid morning in New York, while gold has slipped.

Traders are also reacting in the consumer price that excluding the volatile food and energy prices were flat for a second month and the lowest consumer confidence.

World stock markets which had also edged back fell earlier, higher.

The Fed is weighing measures in an attempt to raise the expectations of the population that inflation will increase in the months to come .the ' hope is that this could make it more likely to raise prices, which would require consumers to make purchases, the inflation of lifting and to stimulate the economy of enterprises.


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U.S. higher than expected unemployment benefits

Different parts of the US suffered mixed fortunes in terms of unemployment, as new jobless claims rose more than expected.New US applications for unemployment benefits rose by 13,000 last week. Photo: AP

New applicants for 462,000 increase is only the second mounted weekly in two months, dampening hopes for a happier jobs U.S. perspective.

"Gain put an end to two straight and reinforced decreases that labour market recovery will not happen quickly," Andrew Gledhill Moody Analytics told AFP on Thursday.

Claims have declined significantly since the end of March, 2009, when first topped 650 000 claims, but have stagnated at around 450 000 since the beginning of the year .the last figure was higher than 445,000 forecast by economists.

This last benefit claims increase comes just weeks after the organisation of cooperation and development (OECD) has warned that in the long term unemployment may be a reality for many Americans.

The recession has left United States with a rate of unemployment in the long term - a measure of people unemployed for more than six months - 4 5pc, almost double its decline in the 1980s and 1990s.

The largest increases in claims weekly came from Pennsylvania, New Jersey, where claims grew by 2,869 and 2,132 respectively in Florida and California, dropped claims by more than 5000.


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