Showing posts with label Retail. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Retail. Show all posts

Snow is threat to the Renaissance of the retail

New figures show that after UK high streets have been affected by a slowdown in sales due to the cold, this month, they saw a dramatic bounce-backs in trade last week.

However, the fresh snow episode that struck the country this weekend could derail recovery as store groups enter their most important business week of the year.

Travel chaos threatened to keep people in the House and Brent Cross North London closed yesterday. But Christmas shoppers to Bluewater in Kent seemed is determined as the shopping centre remained open despite the snow.

Shops are hopeful that customers would be brave the winter time to pick up last minute Christmas gifts as snow delayed shipments online.

Between Monday and Thursday of last week, before the snow, the number of people in the North-East of England stroke was just 0 1pc less of the same week last year. Number of consumers in Scotland was down by 1. 4pc, while in the East Midlands and Yorkshire and Humberside traffic volumes were down by 3. 9pc.

In comparison with traffic low consumer by autour 40pc of the week of the first snap cold at the beginning of the month.

Bounce-backs will provide essential lines top retailers boost they wrestle offset sales lost in the snow.

Figures were provided to the Sunday Telegraph of Synovate Retail Performance, a company with shoppers to electronic sensors in 5 500 stores across the country.

Tim Denison, Director of intelligence for retail at Synovate, stated: "the strongest levels of attendance in the first half of last week were in the regions of the country affected by snow earlier in the month."

"Here, people have taken the opportunity out workshops and buy their donations before returns bad weather for the weekend." Elsewhere the attendance figures remain mastered at this stage of the Christmas run-in. ?

Retailers have begun to prices sink in a desperate attempt to wooing customers in their stores. Most channels mode, preventing marks & Spencer, following and Superdry were offering discounts of up to 50pc last week. Traditional retailers have waited until after Christmas to launch their sales, although in recent years, they began to go to promote earlier.

The snap cold that swept the United Kingdom earlier this month is seriously bad sales to retailers. Analysts estimate that some groups high-street stores sales lost to up to 10 million books on the four-day cold snap.


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Retail stocks could stand out in Santa Claus rally (Reuters)

NEW YORK (Reuters) – This year's miracle won't be limited to 34th Street. It will spill onto Wall Street as well.

The recent agreement to extend the Bush-era tax cuts will help lift the markets in the final weeks of December, analysts say, with retail stocks expected to be among the top beneficiaries.

Late-year advances, known as "Santa Claus rallies" because of their proximity to Christmas, occur on a seasonal jump in bullish sentiment, as well as window dressing -- a strategy used by fund managers to improve the appearance of their funds by chasing strong performers.

It helps that stocks are already on an uptrend, with the Standard & Poor's 500 Index trading at two-year highs.

Increased sentiment "is not totally uncommon at this time of year," said William Delwiche, an investment strategist at Robert W. Baird & Co in Nashville. "Year-end and holidays tend to make people cheerful and optimistic about the new year."

The gains, which can be amplified by the period's light trading volume, have helped make December an historically strong month.

According to Thomson Reuters Datastream, the S&P 500 has gained an average of 1.5 percent in December since 1975, the third-best month behind April and November. The index is up 5 percent so far this month.

"Santa Claus rallies don't come on specific catalysts so much as an intangible sense out there, and this year that sense is strong and to the upside," said Joseph Greco, managing director at Meridian Equity Partners in New York.

"The tax deal gave us a huge shot in the arm, we're seeing consistent strength in retailers, and it's possible that we could get a move of 2.5 (percent) to 3 percent up from here," Greco said.

NICE COMEBACK FOR THE CONSUMER

Sentiment on retail stocks has been bullish lately, thanks to encouraging reads on consumer spending in the holiday shopping season. Analysts said the tax deal is adding to that positive bias.

"For the first time in several years, the consumer is back in play, especially if the tax deal comes through the way it has been proposed," said Timothy Harder, chief investment officer at Peak Capital Investment Services in Denver, which has about $600 million in assets under management. "As that becomes more certain, companies that target consumers will see that benefit."

While Santa Claus rallies unofficially run in the final week of the year, some retailers have already racked up strong gains. Abercrombie & Fitch has surged 11.3 percent in December so far, while luxury retailer Saks Inc is up 6.8 percent.

Despite an expected positive end to the year, issues may resurface in January as traders return from vacation and trading volume increases.

"We'll see Santa in December, but then comes the 'January effect' when institutions and managers either take money off the table or really get involved," Meridian's Greco said.

According to Datastream, January is historically the fourth-best month of the year.

"I'm hopeful that once they get a read on how bullish things are, that'll stimulate them to keep things going."

(Reporting by Ryan Vlastelica; Additional reporting by Rodrigo Campos; Editing by Jan Paschal)


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Cold front in advance for the retail sector, analyst warns, as FTSE 100 slides

He emphasized more immediate pressures on the sector being the increase in VAT and rising costs of raw materials.

But while inflation of the prices of raw materials grabbed the headlines, said Mr. Jeary, he added that the pressure of increasing labour costs in the far East could become a more significant long-term trend.

Among its main "buys" were Burberry, in the light of its exposure to emerging and Dixons markets.Burberry discard p 4 at 10: 40 £ while Dixons declined 0.36 percent 26.15.

However, Mr. Jeary downgraded its position on Kingfisher sport BONAL, HMV, the Topps tiles to "sell" to "hold". write on Kingfisher, he said economic winds for the owner of B & Q seem renforcer.Compte increased concerns, he cut forecast profit in 2012 and 2013.

Kingfisher fell 4.9 to 244,6 p, while lost BONAL sports 0.3 to 6.12 percent, HMV throw ? 46?p and Topps tiles thread 1? to 60 percent.

But Mr. Jeary felt more optimistic on Marks & Spencer, upgrading the retailer to "buy" to "hold" and to maintaining a price target of 446 p.

He thought that factors such as the population of its customer base should help M & S to achieve gains in market share. M & S increased from 1.4 to 385?p.

Second linings, another retailer was also focus - Ocado. Grocer online acquired 6-151 p as investors stated if Wm Morrison supermarkets could be a potential suitor.Morrison added 3.9 277.9 p.

However, Clive Black, an analyst at coast capital was skeptic. "As always, never can never tell potential; business stories"for this is dangereux.Cependant, we would be surprised to see this result for a number of reasons," he said.

While the Morrisons has capacity grocery online, he cast doubt on the likelihood of imminent or premium submission. "As an agreement would be highly dilutive to earnings and capital; statements""Morrisonun mechanism expensive to enter the e-commerce," he said.

Aside, primary Ocado concern market yesterday was a concern that Europe debt crisis is spreading despite the denials Portugal was under pressure to find a Chinese renflouement.Inquiétudes interest rates once more too their head mounting.

At the end of a volatile day, the FTSE 100 recovered earlier losses to close points hereby 5668.7.FTSE 250 throw points 25.61 10809.43.

With a sense of proving the scrapie, banks and minors were on the red side of the index.

Antofagasta and Vedanta Resources lost 52 £ 13.25% and 68% to £ 20.75.However, take more great drum was Royal Bank of Scotland falling 2.17% 38.69.La Bank supported by the State was followed closely by Lloyd's Banking Group, lost 2.85 61.85 percent.

After topped the Thursday on news that U.S. business owner Simon Property may be interested, shopping centres (CSC) capital classification still wearing the yellow Jersey.The acquired property investor 20 to 401 p.Vendeurs long date, Panmure Gordon, increased their position on the SCC to "hold" to "sell", saying that they believed that many of their previous concerns had now been relaxed.

"Long term if the company remains publicly quoted future is improved with ownership of the Trafford Centre and a strengthened balance sheet," added the broker.

But the mid-cap company Segro, property that was checked in the wake of the CSC Thursday, fallen on profit taking excretion 284?p 5.8.

Return among blue-chips, BT was beaten just to the position by the telecommunications company SCC.La had devoted a large part of the day star at the news he sold a 5 5pc its participation in Tech Mahindra, an Indian IT services group.

Also give BT an elevator was an optimistic note Exane BNP Paribas, bidding price target of BT by 265 20pc p.Après a solid performance in the first half, analysts said they were predicting an increase in earnings per share by 2012 and 2013 18pc.

Acquired BT 7.3 174.2 percent.

Among second lining Telecity has charge.Actions data center provider were under pressure from the end, that Collins Stewart said presented a good opportunity to purchase.

"The price current attributes little value for the prospects of exciting growth for the next few years," said analystes.Telecity donning congenital 471?p.

In addition, there were still indignity for Betfair. after launched Investec on betting online activities Thursday with a rating of "selling", UBS suit Friday.

Analysts of the latter stated that the liberalization of international markets betting provided "growth important opportunity", but should be set against the risk of more tax IRAP and be pushed existing markets - as it happened in France.

Broker donning a price target of £ 12.50 Betfair has fallen from 71% to £ 14.00.

Purpose, oil Explorer BowLeven placed m 22 new shares, raise 72 million pounds to redouble their exploration in Cameroon.

BowLeven hangar 13-325 p.


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Analysis: The retail boom will be "ephemeral".

Strong growth in sales to an avalanche of trendy including Burberry, Ted Baker and French Connection high-street retailers this week offered light at the end of the tunnel for the recession-hit retail market.

Tuesday home power fashion Burberry reported increased net within six months of September, while the society carried out in accordance with forecasts for the period of 15 weeks novembre.Le Wednesday, Ted Baker said French connection has reported a 20 7pc 50pc increase sales for the three month of November.

Official figures shown today on retail sales picked up in October by 0 5pc, which suggests that the beleaguered retail sector can finally turn the corner of two months of declining sales.

Tats not last very long, however, détail.Randonnée VAT next year, retail experts increased assurance and large-scale reductions in spending public sector slow which is positive for the sector news inevitably of short durations, said economists.

Richard Lim, an economist at the British consortium of retail, said: "I would not describe today as sales figures"turning the corner".we are waiting to see a relatively slow growth running Christmas."

Mr. Lim said in December last year, retail sales figures have increased by 0 5pc 6pc.Croissance witnessed in October this year "has a long way to go" entered corresponds to a robust performance, he said.

Figures retail today - which showed sales fell by 0 1pc-on-year, showed only "slow growth"in October compared with the previous month, said Mr. Lim".

His views were taken over by Howard Archer, Chief Economist at his insight.Mr. Archer said: "0 5pc-on-month increase represents a pick decent but spectacular places in the volumes of retail in October.

Economists are predicting retail sales will benefit "to a limited extent" in the final weeks of this year consumers bring spending forward in advance of the increase in VAT from January to 20pc.

However, Jonathan Loynes, Economist at the economic capital, said whip retail blow had already stopped: "VAT hike could make certain forward… expenses although things are slow again now, and we squeeze this huge tax happening," he said.

Mr. Archer said: "the concern remains that consumers will be curb their spending to the severe winds contraires.Cela limit clear overall economic growth."

"Consumer confidence is currently low, while the budget reduction will be more jobs in the public sector and the pockets of consumers, said Mr. Archer."Households already facing high unemployment, muted earnings growth and debt élevé.Au levels above this weakness in the housing market is likely to have a dampening effect on consumer spending.?

Future uncertainty will be effect not only more niche as Ted Baker, economists said, but all brands of high-street retailers.

Week last New Look reported like-for-like sales were 4 5pc to the United Kingdom within 26 weeks of September 25, although sales abroad increased by 2.5pc.Toutefois, the company has warned growth would remain subdued.

In an interview with The Daily Telegraph, Carl McPhail, CEO, new look, said: "" we very careful venir.Vous year amounts have changes in VAT en.Il has been a difficult year for us, but we have focused on what we are trying to reach. ""

He rejected the prospect of a double-recession, but consumer spending childcaring responsibilities would be affected by mortgage costs, unemployment and an increase in clothing prix.Prix are 5 - 8pc on an increase in the cost of cotton, he said.


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Increase in UK retail sales: key statistics and economists reaction


Oct.
Seven (previous)
Forecast

"The last digits of UK retail suggests that consumption of recovery, so that a little dull, has not turned again." Retail sales volumes increased in October for the first time in three months by a fairly decent 0.5% on the month.Having said that, only reverse rising half of the decline observed in the previous two months, while the annual growth rate has fallen into negative territory.

"What, sales may well receive a temporary boost as consumers begin to advance expenses in advance of the VAT increase." Clearly this store just weak 2011.En effect early, even if spending receives an extra boost of VAT in the weeks of the year, the prospects for next year remain quite dark.

"Given the importance of spending on the global economy consumers, decent improvement in October retail sales is largely favourable to hopes that GDP growth held well in the fourth quarter after healthy expansion in the second and third quarters."

"It is likely that retail sales will benefit in a measure limited in the past this year consumers looking to purchase more expensive items in advance of the increase in tax on January weeks value ajoutée.détaillants also ardently hope that consumers decide to splashing and have a good Christmas despite their concerns and uncertainties about the Economic Outlook."

?More outside though, concern remains that the consumer will be curb their spending to the severe winds.?This would clearly limit the overall economic growth.?

"We had slightly higher sales over the months, we have 0.3 and 0, expecting the market thing, namely that we always insists 2. here back revisions could be lost in the noise is."

"I am sure that most people would point one greater than the expected number of retail, if you ask them what as their annual planned for the year to October retail market expected 1.5, the figure is now 1.2.".

"So if you're really on the situation as a whole, in other words, revision back the data that we are concerned is the level of retail sales and indeed we found in a smaller place because reviewed data.

"As did retail sales no great surprises, October figures are largely that planned us their and although the figures of September have been revised down, the most important question is once more retail sales do moving forward and after the VAT hike in January and the rest of the year as gets it tighter fiscal train."

"growth month - 0.5% on the nominal value is a number fairly respectable.Mais you must keep in mind is an improvement after declines successives.Il is also supported by sales of fuel automobile.La underlying growth was quite slow."

"Wage inflation is very low and employment growth is very faible.Si any increase is eroded by inflation .and the year on year growth is always negative."

"If I have to say that it is likely to get worse before it gets better."

"They are largely online wih the marché.Notre expectations sense is that retail sales and more generally consumer spending remains strong in Q4 as people submit their costs in advance of the increase in VAT rates in January."

"Q1, however, will be weak and forward next year, we expect anemic growth of consumption".


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Advantages of the industry demand for retail space rebounds property

This month, land securities and British Land, two largest United Kingdom, listed property companies reported that a growing number of retailers are seeking new stores as part of expansion plans.

Chris Grigg, Chief Executive of Earth British, said: "what we are definitely seeing retailers, for the first time since the crisis, provides for the medium and long-term rather than short-term."

This has led to values of motor rental growth business property for the first time since the financial crisis.Also the Mall developments are is redémarrés.Par example, Land Securities began working on the Leeds Trinity, a 350 million project of £ in city centre of Leeds is already 50pc leave despite not scheduled to open in spring 2013.Cult, following and Topshop signed for the shops at the new Mall.

Francis Salway, Executive Director, Land Securities, said: "more companies have strengthened their balance sheets and are willing to invest and develop."

Nowhere is more evident than Oxford Street fashion retailers successful demand premium ground UK retailers and foreign motor rent records.

Desigual, Spanish fashion chain has agreed to pay a record £ 710 square feet to move the current Disney on Oxford Street store while Primark provides a second store in the street, and retailer American fashion Forever 21 struck a deal almost unprecedented pay HMV 14 million pounds to take 360 Oxford Streert rent.

This demand forecasting, Land Securities began working on Park House, the greatest development on Oxford Street for a year before the Office and the retail site is finished génération.Deux, retail space is 95pc leave Zone A £ 600, with Urban Outfitters and Zara rents means among brands have signed.


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Sir Terry Leahy of the Tesco is model retail

When sir Terry took the top post page sales in 1997 were ?17. 8bn, they are now ?62. 5bn.

A chance to recognize some success but, more important still, success cohérente.Notre winner this year is Sir Terry Leahy, Chief Executive of Tesco.


Tesco success story sounds familiar to most of us because of the ubiquity of the fascia but the extent and pace of change in the company under the direction of Sir Terry is actually even more remarkable considering the facts.


When he took the top position of page in 1997, sales were 17 £ 8bn, they are now. 5bn £ 62. Profit before tax was £ m 832 thirteen years. It is now supported for £ 3.The dividend was a 255 m value £ to shareholders at the time it is now worth 968 million from £. UK sales represented 89pc revenue group in 1997. They are now 68pc because international expansion offers a greater slice of future growth.


Other retailers, large and small, have felt the competitive strength of Tesco, which forced the rival to raise their game to the benefit of the consommateurs.Fournisseurs too are feel trade muscle of Tesco, forcing the cost of the aliments.Tout reached while Sir Terry has maintained a stable and predictable business model for many years. Tesco attracted criticism from some parts, but critics born success instead of failure.If more companies had led people focus and Sir Terry Leahy work ethic the British economy undoubtedly would fit better, not worse.


Bank could assist in charities


Another round of awards will be broadcast on Wednesday evening on ITV - pride of Britain.They celebrate unsung heroes who overcome the terrible to the bien.Leurs ratings stories involve often charitable organizations and constant effort required to lift the even the most modest sums of money. Meanwhile banks face another public reaction on the premiums will be paid in the new année.Désespérément, they want to put an end to their bashing, but appear to be incapable of doing anything to solve the problem themselves.


In addition, there is a one-off action raise huge sums and go very far in the rehabilitation of bankers and help secure with Westminster peace conditions.


To lose elections, perceived job tax bonus that finally raised £ 2 5bn.Je requests all FSA regulated banks this year voluntarily imposing a tax similar in all bonus to create trust a new charitable bankers offer a vast Fund of staffing in perpetuity, representing some good to overcome the crisis but also the grand gesture of atonement that industry must therefore poorly done.


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Argos slump hits home Retail Group

Declining demand for "big ticket" furniture, video games and televisions have contributed to a decline of 14 million from £ 103 million pounds in six months to 28 August pre-tax profits.

Sales like-for-like Argos fell 6 5pc, have 0 8pc HomeBase.Total sales dropped 3pc £ 2, 720 m.

Home Retail Group was particularly affected by the slowdown with clientele mainly low income which is not as large falls mortgage rates than those of higher incomes.

Stated unit volumes at Argos had actually increased, with "particular success in the areas of small tickets such as toys and follow the".Cependant, he described a weakness in large purchases furniture and parts of the video as "pronounced", despite the positive effect of the game World Cup technology market.

HomeBase has suffered a decline in sales, with enhanced range of garden furniture and barbecues cited as reasons for the slow decline more slowly.

Shares declined nearly 2pc in trade in the beginning, 216 p.

Executive Director of the Terry Duddy, Home Retail Group, said m £ 39 cost reduction has contributed to a decline in profits slower than otherwise would have been reached and remained positive on the busy holiday season.

He said: "we are about to enter our trading more busy period and while we are carefully, we do so from a position of strength, operational and financial.

Multi-channel sales group continues to represented cro?tre.Internet 32pc of sales of the Argos, 28pc maximum level year précédente.IPhone Argos, launched in May 2010, app has been downloaded more than 850 000 times and now represents sales of 1pc.

Sales via the Internet at HomeBase, including its new service of "reserve & collect" increased by 40pc in the first half of the fiscal year and now accounts for 4pc sales.

Home Retail Group is continuing now with a number of store cleaning, with plans to complete the rehabilitation of more than 100 Argos stores in time for Christmas trading period more busy group.


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Mounted retail sales more than expected in September.

WASHINGTON - Americans spent more money on cars, furniture and hardware to boost retail sales to one-third monthly increase in September.

Retail sales rose by 0.6% in September, the commerce Department said vendredi.Qui followed August increased 0.7% better, the largest increase since March.

With the exception of cars, sales rose 0.4 percent in September after a gain in August 1 percent.

Chain since July retail sales increases and decreases in May and juin.Ceux who had raised concerns that the country could be in danger of recession failover. Economists warn that while the economy grows, it will be even also long households are faced with high unemployment and low income growth.

Consumer spending is closely watched because it represents 70% of economic activity.

Life home of $ 1 billion. Richest in India man has simply moved in what is probably one of the pads over on the Earth Life.: you get an increase (really tiny)! the Col. wheels market Starbucks baristas: switch to decaf

Car sales, which had disappeared 0.5 percent for the month of August, rose 1.6% in September, best presentation since March.Economists had predicted increase September auto sales based on the reports of automakers .This reports showed sales for the month came at a rate of 11,76 million units, slightly better than the rate in August.Yet it is far from pre-recession 16 million in 2007 - sales level just before the start of the recession.

Resistance to the cars arrived in large gains in this category meubles.Vente stores increased by 0.5%, best presentation since juillet.Magasins electronics and equipment posted a rise of 1.5%, the best since February.Sales shops equipment increased by 0.6%, the strongest rise since April.

Sales in general merchandise stores, a broad category that includes shops and large chains such as Wal-Mart and target countries, showed no increase in the month dernier.Mais flat reading followed by a jump 0.5 percent for the month of August, heightened by back to school shopping and discounted by many retailers.

Specialty clothing stores sales dropped by 0.2 percent in August after a rise of 0.5% in July.

Even with strong overall gain in September, analysts do not consider it as a sign the economy is set to take off.

Indeed, sales in the month of August just shake, the Department of commerce reported Friday, although inventories to u.s. companies have increased strongly.

Inventories increased 0.6%, slightly more gain of 0.5 to cent.Les analysts expectations inventories in July were revised upward by 1.1%, initially reported as an increase of 1% .Cependant, sales of the company in August rose only 0.1%, causing the inventory ratio sales, which measures how long it takes to sell its existing inventory to increase to 1.27 mois.Cette gauge was at his own pace higher since November.

There is concern that consumer spending not rebound that households have incomes growth to move at a pace more rapide.Et revenue growth will not come until companies began to hire dismissed workers back to clip stronger.

The Ministry of labour was reported last week that the nation's unemployment rate remains blocked from 9.6% in septembre.Le countries saw a net loss of 95,000 jobs.

Unemployment has reached or exceeds 9.5% since one year and two months, the longest segment since the great depression.

The global economy has increased at a sluggish pace of only 1.7 per cent in the quarter from April to juin.De many analysts believe that the economy will be softened along at a rate below 2% in the second half of this year.

Associated Press contributed more than this report with some elements of Reuters.


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Retail surprise: luxury Beats discounters

Many investors and analysts expect discount retailers while doing last month. In an era where the United States economic recovery seems to be slowing down, it is logical that shoppers may be looking for bargains.
Apparently not.The trend towards June retail sales figures released today the most striking is how many expensive shops and luxury retailers fight attentes.Discompteurs, meanwhile, disappointed investors largely.
Bloomberg News reports:

Nordstrom [JWN] string U.S. store with over 100 locations, sales jumped 14.1% stores open at least a year, more than estimated average 9.1% of the retail settings. J.C. Penney [plan], the U.S. store third sales climbed 4.5 per cent, compared to a projection of 3.7 %.Macy [M], Shop No. 2, has increased by 6.5%, topping of estimates.
Throughout June, same store sales stores rose 5.9%, according to the Council International shopping centres and same-store sales rocketed 8.8% higher luxe.Magasins discount, chain saw during this time, a 2% sales increase.
GAP (GPS) illustrates the trend, with different results to its channels aimed at high- and low - end consumers. His string of Banana Republic 400 d has reported an increase of 6% from the same store sales, just a little under Wall Street had expected, according to 6.9 %.Mais discount chain retail settings Old Navy reported flat sales even though analysts were expecting an increase of 4.9% sales.
To the rest of the retail world, dollar stores continue to reasonably well serve the unemployed and others seek deep discounts.Family Dollar Stores (FDO), reported earnings on 7 July, said same-store sales increased by 5.5% in June.But investors were clearly disappointed by the results and prospects of the string for the next stock trimestre.Le fell 8.1% on 7 July.
"The environment remains difficult for consumers," Family Dollar financial director Kenneth t. Smith told analysts.A problem for consumers to lower-end cited in Family Dollar executives is uncertainty as to the extension of benefits for the unemployed.
Another factor could be keeping a lid on low-income spending: instead of shopping, heavily indebted consumers pay off the coast of credit cards and other dettes.Dans published data on July 8, consumer credit fell 9.1 billion in May and 14.9 billion in avril.écrit Ward McCarthy, chief financial economist at Jefferies Economics:
Consumers have been re-balance budgets in paying down debt and by increasing the économies.Tant credit continues to contract at this rate, the prospects for a strong increase in consumer spending are thin.
Many luxury consumers seem to return to shopping centres without these notes of Bloomberg News, contraintes.Comme Tiffany & co. (fit) Chief Financial Officer James Fernandez said an investment Conference June 30: "the United States customers are feel more confident than last year, related to the improved levels of net worth."
While unemployment remains high, the economy improves lentement.à a moment, we could attend a growing division in attitudes among those who feel private cash (particularly the unemployed and underemployed them) and those who feel more confident in their economic status.
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